Research output

Publications.

Selected work since joining HKU in September 2023: journal articles and refereed conference and workshop papers, including accepted manuscripts.

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Methods and topics

Showing all 21 papers

Accepted & in press

3 papers

A01 2026

Delivered-Energy and Operative-Temperature Trade-offs for Learned-Probability-Informed HVAC Supervision in a Weather Stress Grid.

Hongshan Guo

Energy and Buildings

Accepted 27 September 2026.

About this paper

Uses predicted probabilities of thermal sensation to inform HVAC supervision, examining delivered-energy and operative-temperature trade-offs across a weather stress grid.

Research context →
A02 2026

Lower Peaks, Similar Growth: Isolating the Value and Limits of AI-Driven Thermal Sensation Modeling for Building–Grid Resilience Under Future Climates.

Hongshan Guo, Kanxuan He

Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence

Accepted 15 September 2026.

A03 2026

Equal Cooling Setpoints, Unequal Thermal Outcomes: Residential Cooling Service Under Future Weather and Ageing.

Hongshan Guo

Energy [DOI ↗]

In press

Article 142403; DOI registered, volume not yet assigned.

About this paper

Examines how future weather and population ageing affect residential cooling service and thermal outcomes under equal cooling setpoints.

Research context →

Journal articles

12 papers

J01 2026

Temporal Regime Diagnostics of Dining-Space CO₂ Under Occupancy Loading: A Long-Horizon Operational Study with Dense-Grid Seed Evidence.

Yu Chang, Hongshan Guo

Building and Environment [DOI ↗]

Published online

About this paper

Combines dense sensor measurements with 13 months of coffee-shop and restaurant monitoring to identify CO₂ build-up and recovery patterns. Recent occupancy history improves prediction of concentration changes, while the diagnostic framework distinguishes temporal response from instantaneous headcount or ventilation estimates.

J02 2026

Automated Urban Energy Assessment: From Thermal Flyover to AI-Driven Retrofit Prioritization for Sustainable Cities.

Hongshan Guo, Sebastiano Anselmo, Maria Ferrara, Shuai Niu, Binlin Chi, Xuchen Wang

Sustainable Cities and Society [DOI ↗]

About this paper

Uses Thermal-SAM to segment mid-wave infrared flyovers into building patches, pairs ring and context thermal features with EPC-derived EUI benchmarks, and shows thermal data is most useful for triaging anomalous high-EUI or EPC-inconsistent buildings for follow-up audits rather than routine direct EUI regression.

J03 2026

Scenario-Conditioned Actual Meteorological Years (sAMY): A Stochastic Weather Generator Using Multi-Decadal Observations.

Hongshan Guo, Kanxuan He

Energy and Buildings [DOI ↗]

About this paper

Develops a stochastic weather-generation workflow using multi-decadal observations to support scenario-conditioned building performance analysis under climate uncertainty.

Research context →
J04 2026

Experimental Study on Gender Differences in Thermal Comfort and Physiological Responses in Fan-Assisted Cooling Environments.

Chao Cen, Hongshan Guo, Lup Wai Chew, Nyuk Hien Wong

Energy and Buildings [DOI ↗]

About this paper

Finds that gender differences become most pronounced under high-velocity cooling at lower temperatures, with implications for equitable fan-cooling design. By connecting subjective votes with skin-temperature responses, the study shows why mixed-mode cooling strategies should not assume uniform comfort response.

J05 2026

Input Quality, Not Statistical Complexity, Determines Climate-Adapted Weather File Fidelity: A Causal Decomposition of Degree-Day Errors.

Hongshan Guo, Kanxuan He

Energy [DOI ↗]

About this paper

Shows that weather-file baseline quality dominates future demand bias, outperforming more complex workflows for climate-adapted energy projections. Rather than rewarding statistical complexity for its own sake, the paper identifies input fidelity as the main determinant of robust downstream building simulation.

Research context →
J06 2026

From Seven Points to Probabilities: Ordinal Learning for Risk-Aware Thermal Comfort Prediction.

Hongshan Guo, Dorit Aviv

Building and Environment [DOI ↗]

About this paper

Predicts the probability of each response on the seven-point cold-to-hot thermal sensation scale, so design and control decisions can account for uncertainty in how occupants feel.

Research context →
J07 2026

Toward Smarter HVAC Control: Machine Learning Reveals Hidden Drivers in Thermal Comfort Databases.

Hongshan Guo, Ilaria Pigliautile, Yu Chang, Qingyao Qiao, Yichun Li

Energy and AI [DOI ↗]

About this paper

Shows how missing-data policy reshapes feature sensitivity rankings and supports MRT-aware, occupant-centric HVAC control. The paper makes clear that preprocessing decisions materially affect what machine-learning models appear to learn from thermal comfort databases.

Research context →
J08 2026

Ventilation-Energy Trade-offs in Retrofitted Hong Kong Wet Markets.

Hongshan Guo, Yu Chang, Yichun Li, Ying Zhou, Qingyao Qiao, Chun Yin Lai, Eric Schuldenfrei

Energy and Buildings [DOI ↗]

About this paper

Combines field diagnostics and cross-climate simulation to quantify ventilation, comfort, and energy trade-offs in retrofitted Hong Kong wet markets. It frames wet-market modernization as both a building-performance problem and a public-institution design question.

J09 2026

A Co-Simulation Methodology for Integrating Data-Driven Thermal Sensation Models with Building Energy Control.

Hongshan Guo, Kanxuan He, Youmin Xu, Yue Lei

Energy and Buildings [DOI ↗]

About this paper

Integrates data-driven thermal sensation models with building control workflows to benchmark occupant-aware control across multiple climates. It shows how co-simulation can move comfort models from offline prediction into actionable control testing.

Research context →
J10 2025

Correcting the 120-Watt Assumption: Demographic-Aware Metabolic Rates for Energy Savings and Thermal Comfort Equity in Buildings.

Hongshan Guo, Ruiji Sun, Youmin Xu

Energy and Buildings [DOI ↗]

About this paper

Demonstrates that demographic-aware metabolic loads can cut HVAC energy use and reduce gender-based comfort bias relative to the legacy 120 W/person assumption. The work directly challenged a century-old default embedded in standards and helped motivate ASHRAE 1959-TRP.

Research context →
J11 2025

A Data-Driven Qualitative Review of Thermal Comfort Studies: Bridging the Gap Between Western and Eastern Perspectives.

Yu Chang, Hongshan Guo, Yichun Li, Ilaria Pigliautile, Binlin Chi

Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews [DOI ↗]

About this paper

Reviews how comfort studies use personal, contextual, and PMV-related variables, highlighting gaps that limit cross-cultural comparison and model transfer. It also establishes a benchmark-oriented framing for comparing Eastern and Western comfort evidence more systematically.

J12 2025

Physics-Informed Neural Networks for Robust Thermal Comfort Prediction: Overcoming Data Quality Limitations Through Physiological Constraints.

Hongshan Guo, Kanxuan He, Yongqiang Luo, Yu Chang

Building and Environment [DOI ↗]

About this paper

Uses physiological constraints inside a neural model to improve robustness and interpretability in large-scale thermal comfort prediction. The approach treats building-comfort ML as a physically informed modeling problem rather than a purely statistical fitting exercise.

Conference & workshop papers

6 papers

C01 2026

Data-Driven Cross-Regional Climate Zone Classification for Building Codes: A Future-Compatible Framework.

He K., Guo H.

E3S Web of Conferences 716 [DOI ↗]

Best Paper Award

IAQVEC 2026, Los Angeles, May 2026. Future-compatible climate zoning for building codes.

C02 2025

A Temporal Features-Enhanced Mixture-of-Experts Approach for Indoor Temperature Prediction.

He K., Guo H.

ICML 2025 CO-BUILD Workshop

Oral, first place

Smart Building Competition winner.

C03 2025

Thermal-SAM: Adversarial Prompt-Based Unsupervised Building Segmentation in Thermal Aerial Imagery.

Niu S., Guo H., Ferrara M., Anselmo S.

ICML 2025 CO-BUILD Workshop

Poster, third place

Recognized at the NeurIPS 2025 Urban AI Workshop Buildings Challenge.

C04 2025

ML-Driven Sensitivity Analysis for Lean HVAC: New Insights from Large-Scale Comfort Data.

Guo H., Chang Y., Hu D.

ICML 2025 CO-BUILD Workshop

Poster

C05 2025

From Open Air to Air-Tight: Analyzing the Ventilation Overhaul in Hong Kong's Wet Markets and Its Implications.

Guo H., Zhou Y., Lai C.Y., Ren C.

Multiphysics and Multiscale Building Physics (IBPC 2024) [DOI ↗]

Proceedings chapter, pp. 55–60; first published online in December 2024.

C06 2025

Accelerating NZEB Design Optimization Through LLM-Based Standardization and Compliance Checking.

Guo H., Coleman J., Gullapalli I.

Multiphysics and Multiscale Building Physics (IBPC 2024) [DOI ↗]

Proceedings chapter, pp. 585–591; first published online in December 2024.